Predictions

24h movers · 20

1. -62.0ppUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

   67.5% → 5.5%
2. -59.0ppUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

   72.0% → 13.0%
3. -46.5ppUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

   81.0% → 34.5%
4. -37.5ppWill Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

   37.5% → 0.1%· ends 2026-05-22
5. -37.0ppWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

   64.5% → 27.5%· ends 2026-05-31
6. -29.5ppLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

   37.5% → 8.0%· ends 2026-05-25
7. -16.5ppUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

   24.0% → 7.5%· ends 2026-05-26
8. -11.4ppUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

   26.9% → 15.6%· ends 2026-05-31
9. -11.0ppStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

   57.5% → 46.5%· ends 2026-06-30
10. +10.7ppWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

    15.3% → 26.1%· ends 2026-07-01
11. -10.5ppLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

    27.5% → 17.0%· ends 2026-05-25
12. -9.8ppStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

    12.3% → 2.5%· ends 2026-05-31
13. -9.6ppIran closes its airspace by May 24?

    11.6% → 2.1%· ends 2026-05-24
14. +9.4ppIran closes its airspace by June 30?

    31.3% → 40.7%· ends 2026-06-30
15. -8.0ppUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

    32.5% → 24.5%· ends 2026-05-31
16. -7.0ppSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

    47.5% → 40.5%· ends 2026-05-31
17. -6.5ppIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

    16.4% → 9.8%· ends 2026-05-31
18. -6.0ppWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

    7.6% → 1.6%· ends 2026-05-31
19. +6.0ppUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    44.5% → 50.5%· ends 2026-05-31
20. -5.8ppWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

    7.4% → 1.7%· ends 2026-05-31